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Defining Uganda's vulnerability index and updating national level indicators for measuring resilience



Uganda is highly sensitive to climate change and is already experiencing the impacts through increased frequency and intensity of disasters such as droughts, floods and landslides in recent years. Historic records show a decreasing trend in rainfall, but downscaled climate models predict a probable increase in precipitation during the short rainy season as well as a potential increase in extreme events. The Government has set an ambitious goal for its development, aiming to transform into a modern, middle-income country by 2040. The National Climate Change Policy (2015) is aimed at ensuring national development that is climate change resilient (Uganda National Development Plan 2015/16). Climate change mainstreaming has started with five priority sectors: agriculture, water, infrastructure, energy and lands. Understanding regional climate change impacts and assessing vulnerabilities across different sectors is crucial to effectively prepare for future risks imposed by climate change. Such an assessment enables practitioners and decision-makers to identify the most vulnerable areas, sectors and social groups and develop targeted interventions to mitigate the risk.

CTCN Support

  • To strengthen the capacity of Uganda to address climatic vulnerabilities, and to plan, implement, monitor, and evaluate effective and efficient resilience actions in a transparent manner; establishing transparent and flexible systems for monitoring, evaluation, and learning of resilience

Expected Impact

  • Improved ability to measure climatic vulnerabilities in selected/prioritised sectors
  • Enhanced capacity to develop and assess national vulnerability indices for selected/prioritised sectors
  • Improved national indicators system in measuring resilience
  • Improved monitoring and evaluation of resilience, including the appraisal of their costs and benefits
  • Enhanced ability to track the effectiveness of resilience interventions and finance in accomplishing desired outcomes
  • Improved understanding of nationally and globally effective practices and relevant circumstances that lead to their success
  • Enhanced transparency and accountability by providing an underpinning for the legitimacy of public policies, and of public and private adaptation spending
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