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The Reality and Future Scenarios of Commercial Building Energy Consumption in China

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Nan Zhou, Jiang Lin
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This report evaluates the impact of various scenarios of gross domestic product growth, energy elasticity, and energy efficiency improvement on energy consumption in commercial buildings in China. The report finds that commercial energy consumption in China’s current statistics is underestimated by about 44%, and energy efficiency improvements will not be sufficient to offset the strong increase in end-use intensity in commercial buildings.